Changes between Version 14 and Version 15 of UWSummerStatsWorkshop
- Timestamp:
- Jul 23, 2015, 2:53:57 PM (9 years ago)
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UWSummerStatsWorkshop
v14 v15 166 166 * With fixed sample size increasing a+b (beta parameters) increases weight on prior. 167 167 * Nonsymmetric vs asymmetric? 168 * Averaging out over all the possible values theta could take weighted by the posterior (Averaging out the uncertainty).168 * Averaging out over all the possible values theta could take weighted by the posterior (Averaging out the uncertainty). 169 169 * Hypothesis testing: 170 170 * Ratio of probabilities of data given model 1 vs model 2 or null. 171 171 * "Bayesian modelling can be very intoxicating." 172 172 === Thursday AM2 === 173 * Dirichlet is the multinomial generalization of the beta 174 * Large values of input parameters increase influence of the prior. 175 * Bayes factors for HWE 176 * Bayes factor - ratio of probabilities of data over model 1 and model 2. 177 * Bayes factor * prior odds < CII/CI = R 178 * CI - cost of type I error, CII - cost of type II error 179 * Monte Carlo approximation (backtracking to yesterday) 180 * 173 181 174 182 ==== quotes ====